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    Trial Design

    External Control Arm

    An external control arm is a comparator group constructed from data outside the current clinical trial; historical trial data, registry data, EHR data, or natural-history studies; used to contextualize results from a single-arm trial when randomization is infeasible.

    External controls are most defensible in rare diseases, oncology with high unmet need, and pediatric studies where withholding treatment is unethical. FDA's 2023 draft guidance Considerations for the Design and Conduct of Externally Controlled Trials for Drug and Biological Products formalizes acceptance criteria.

    Methodological rigor requires pre-specified eligibility alignment, propensity-score or matching adjustment, sensitivity analyses, and transparency on data provenance.

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